Tag Archives: Bayesian methodology

Inferring population-level effects from individual-level effect estimates: G-computation

The fields of epidemiology and demography are closely aligned. Even demographers interested in fertility or migration, not just mortality, can learn a great deal from epidemiology. As a recent study has argued, epidemiology is currently undergoing a methodological revolution, and this is likely to affect demography as well. The epidemiological revolution is, in fact, a […]

The Art and Science of Being Uncertain

This post from Dr. Jakub Bijak from the University of Southampton discusses the challenges surrounding the management and communication of demographic uncertainty, and the methods available for approaching these problems. Some of the most captivating questions in contemporary demography are about what we do not know: the realms of uncertainty. This is especially visible in population forecasts, which […]

Fertility from a Bayesian perspective – worth trying?

This guest post by Beata Osiewalska discusses and describes her research on Bayesian approaches in fertility analysis. Is it possible to see the probability distribution over the number of children for a person with some particular demographic or socio-economic background? Have you ever wondered what this distribution would look like in your case? In this […]